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SUNDAY
For Sunday, the entire area has been placed under a slight risk for severe weather, a level 2/5 designation. The main threat on Sunday will be hail and strong straight-line winds in excess of 50mph. We can expect thunderstorms to be in a "bowing" formation late Sunday morning and early afternoon. There will likely be a break in the weather of sorts after this round, and then round two will spark around 5-7pm. These initial storms that spark have a good chance for turning severe given how much energy will be available, but the tornado threat will be low as the wind profile will be lacking. There is a brief chance for some small supercell thunderstorms before 5pm with any earlybird storms. There is a greater chance for severe weather the further you are to the southwest on Sunday. This weather will be fueled by an upper-level trough in the atmosphere taking advantage of dew points in the 60s and temperatures in the 80s across the area.
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MONDAY - TUESDAY
The upper-level trough from Sunday will slowly move to our south on Monday and Tuesday, inducing some more thunderstorms and rain across the area. A small portion of the upper Midwest just to our east is at a marginal risk for severe weather on Monday. Rain on Monday and Tuesday could be more widespread in nature, but temps in the upper 70s and dew points in the upper 50s will keep the chance for some Thunderstorms alive. It looks like the pattern finally changes late Wednesday and Thursday when high pressure settles across the Midwest.
