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New polls show bad news for GOP

New polls done by NBC/Marist of the Senate and gubernatorial races in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin show things may be taking a turn for the worse for Republicans in the fall elections. All three states show President Donald Trump's approval rating underwater.

Posted: Jul 29, 2018 1:34 PM
Updated: Jul 29, 2018 1:43 PM

Three new polls done by NBC/Marist of the Senate and gubernatorial races in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin show things may be taking a turn for the worse for Republicans in the fall elections.

The race for governor in Wisconsin has some unpleasant news for Republican incumbent, Gov. Scott Walker, who is seeking his third term in 2018. Sixty-one percent of Wisconsin's registered voters think they should "give a new person a chance" instead of re-electing Walker, the polling shows.

Wisconsin Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers will be Walker's most likely Democratic competitor. His numbers show him ahead of the next contestant by 19 percentage points.

When facing one another, Evers currently leads Walker 54% to 41%, a significantly higher number than the Marquette University poll only a month ago, showing Walker beating Evers by four percentage points.

Wisconsin Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin has an advantage over both her possible challengers -- Kevin Nicholson and Leah Vukmir -- by at least 15 percentage points. CNN has the race rated as lean Democrat in Baldwin's favor.

In Minnesota, the Democratic-Farmer-Labor primary for governor is heating up, with Lori Swanson leading Tim Walz by four percentage points. Tim Pawlenty will likely be the Republican nominee, as he's beating his challenger -- Jeff Johnson -- 51% to 32%.

For Senate in Minnesota, Democratic incumbent Sen. Tina Smith is beating Karin Housley by 14 percentage points. CNN rates the race as likely Democrat. Both Senate seats are up for grabs in Minnesota, with Democratic Sen. Amy Klobuchar's race rated as solidly Democratic.

Michigan Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow is expected to win her re-election against either John James or Sandy Pensler -- leading both by at least 15 percentage points, according to the poll.

If November's gubernatorial election in Michigan results in a showdown between Gretchen Whitmer, the Democrat, and Bill Schuette, the Republican, Whitmer is expected to win, according to the poll.

However, both Whitmer and Schuette face primaries in August that could be competitive. Whitmer will go up against Shri Thanedar and Abdul El-Sayed, whom she leads by 4 and 9 percentage points respectively. In the Republican race, Schuette leads his closest competitor 33% to 26%.

All three states show President Donald Trump's approval rating underwater. The lowest rating is in Minnesota, where 37% approve of the job Trump's doing as President and about half disapprove.

These possible battleground states also would rather have a Congress controlled by the Democrats, with 45% in Michigan, 47% in Wisconsin and 48% in Minnesota saying they would prefer that to the current Republican-controlled Congress.

Michigan and Wisconsin both went for Trump in the 2016 election by a very slim margin -- with Trump beating Clinton with between 0.2% and 1.6% of the vote. Clinton won in Minnesota but by a much slimmer margin than expected.

The NBC/Marist poll of 1,033 adults was conducted July 15th through July 19th, 2018 in Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin by The Marist Poll sponsored and funded in partnership with NBC News. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of Michigan were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed in English by telephone using live interviewers.

Minnesota Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 142311

Reported Deaths: 2472
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Hennepin35484995
Ramsey14726372
Dakota10271139
Anoka9344155
Washington636273
Stearns625550
Scott360436
Olmsted340230
St. Louis325874
Wright273116
Clay252944
Nobles234318
Blue Earth21147
Carver18887
Sherburne183122
Kandiyohi18215
Rice170210
Mower154518
Winona133619
Chisago11562
Crow Wing114322
Benton103311
Lyon10306
Beltrami9618
Otter Tail9508
Waseca94510
Todd8967
Polk8364
Morrison8259
Steele8013
Itasca78817
Douglas7744
Nicollet77118
Freeborn7185
Le Sueur6646
Goodhue65111
Martin62618
Becker6214
McLeod6214
Isanti5995
Watonwan5824
Pine5770
Carlton5092
Chippewa4733
Mille Lacs44918
Hubbard4344
Cass4225
Wabasha4141
Dodge4130
Pipestone36617
Meeker3593
Rock3595
Brown3483
Roseau3300
Redwood29912
Yellow Medicine2986
Murray2973
Cottonwood2950
Fillmore2770
Renville27213
Sibley2663
Wadena2643
Faribault2520
Houston2381
Unassigned23853
Kanabec23710
Swift2252
Jackson2211
Pennington2181
Aitkin1982
Stevens1941
Lincoln1930
Koochiching1755
Pope1680
Big Stone1591
Marshall1511
Lac qui Parle1453
Wilkin1454
Clearwater1381
Norman1340
Lake1330
Mahnomen1292
Grant1054
Red Lake822
Traverse590
Kittson530
Lake of the Woods441
Cook190

Iowa Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 122218

Reported Deaths: 1691
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Polk19732289
Woodbury743799
Linn6038133
Johnson602431
Black Hawk5974102
Dubuque550658
Scott487343
Story411118
Dallas357347
Pottawattamie337845
Sioux254417
Buena Vista230212
Marshall212236
Webster196015
Plymouth172831
Wapello158962
Clinton156228
Muscatine153958
Des Moines151611
Cerro Gordo150227
Crawford138714
Warren13137
Carroll120413
Jasper119734
Henry11245
Marion106811
Lee101312
Tama100538
Delaware82713
Dickinson7939
Wright7591
Boone7509
Mahaska73824
Bremer7199
Harrison69716
Washington69311
Jackson6853
Benton6482
Lyon5688
Clay5574
Louisa54415
Winnebago52119
Cedar5087
Winneshiek5079
Hardin5017
Jones5004
Kossuth4970
Clayton4923
Buchanan4875
Hamilton4825
Poweshiek47611
Floyd46211
Emmet45321
Iowa4429
Cass4233
Mills4233
Guthrie42015
Page4200
Cherokee4122
Sac4114
Butler4083
Fayette4064
Shelby4022
Allamakee3999
Franklin39518
Madison3743
Chickasaw3731
Hancock3676
Humboldt3593
Clarke3573
Grundy3406
Palo Alto3292
Calhoun3264
Osceola3020
Mitchell2961
Howard2879
Monroe27212
Union2645
Taylor2602
Jefferson2591
Appanoose2503
Monona2492
Pocahontas2442
Fremont2152
Lucas2136
Ida2122
Adair1971
Greene1930
Montgomery1907
Davis1884
Van Buren1882
Keokuk1731
Decatur1620
Audubon1601
Worth1470
Wayne1373
Ringgold992
Adams841
Unassigned60
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